Prediction Changed
10:38 AM 02/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Winnipeg North
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green
Johannson, Catharine
Communist
Komarniski, Frank
Conservative
Larkin, Ray
Liberal
Marion, Marcelle
People's Political Power
Poisson, Roger F.
New Democratic
Wasylycia-Leis, Judy

Incumbent:
Judy Wasylycia-Leis

2006 Result:
Judy Wasylycia-Leis **
15582
Parmjeet Gill
5752
Garreth McDonald
4810
David Carey
779
Eric Truijen
207
Darrell Rankin
123

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 09 24 Matt
24.79.72.64
Judy's popularity and a lot of NDP history in this riding will result in an NDP hold.
08 09 09 Chriswpg
74.216.7.182
Judy W.L will easily re-take this riding. She has a strong election team in the area. Her opponent is someone I am not really familiar with(living in the riding). After her strong showing(defeating a Liberal cabinet minister)in 2004 and growing support in 2006. This is a fairly safe NDP riding.
08 02 24 A.S.
99.233.96.153
The Liberals won in '88 and '93; but actually, this could have been, in ground-up advantage if not in transposed votes, an NDP hold in both years (!) had present boundaries held then. As for 2004, I suspect the only people who seriously thought JWL would lose against an aging lesser Grit cabmin were wishful Grit partisans (even if she lost against him in '93). As for the present, at worst, the NDP will be reduced to a Patty & Selma Bouvier pair, i.e. Libby Davies and JWL...
07 10 02 Nick J Boragina
74.14.23.192
Lets remember that the MP here defeated a Liberal Cabinet minister in 2004, when people thought she would lose. Judy is one of the strongest NDP MPís in the house, and people know that. She wins by large margins and will continue to do so. I project an NDP victory here.
07 07 29
156.34.209.102
The Liberals won this in 1988 and 1993, but ever since then its gone NDP in comfortable margins. Pretty easy win for them with over 50% of the vote easily.
07 03 29 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
The Best NDP showing last time around so no matter what happens Judy Wasylicia-Leis should easily retain this riding. She only lost in 1993 when NDP voters en masse abandoned them to turf the Tories, but right now the Tories as unpopular as they are amongst some, are not nearly as unpopular as Mulroney was in 1993.
07 03 25 DL
142.162.144.27
Judy W-L won with an almost North Korean margin last time. Supersafe NDP seat along with Vancouver East.



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