Prediction Changed
3:47 PM 07/04/2007

Election Prediction Project

Souris-Moose Mountain
Federal Election - 2007

Constituency Profile

Belt, Marlin
Deptuck, Bob
New Democratic
Fletcher, Raquel
Komarnicki, Ed

Ed Komarnicki

2006 Result:
Ed Komarnicki **
Lonny McKague
Michael Haukeness
Matthew Smith

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result

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08 02 16 A.S.
In Souris-Moose Mountain, the Tories are the moose, and the rest are the mice. Though it's worth noting re ‘this has been Conservative long before the party dominated Saskatchewan’ that SMM *hasn't* been uniformly Conservative; the Liberals won here in '93. Of course, Reform + PC would have trounced the Grits then, as Reform alone managed in the following election.
07 09 25 Christopher
Conservative hold for sure. Ed Komarnicki is very personally popular and this is a very conservative southern Saskatchewan riding. His large victory in 2004 even with Grant Devine running as an independent pretty much guarantees he'll keep this seat as long as he runs.
07 09 17 Nick J Boragina
The Souris' ridings (in Saskatchewan and one in Manitoba) are some of the strongest small-c conservative ridings in the country. I think the fact that the MP here was able to beat Devine, a former premier, is a sign that he can win against a no-name Liberal or no-name NDPer. When it comes to these things, party names are like brand names, and people here like their MP's ‘Conservative’ not ‘Presidents Choice Liberal’ or ‘Our Compliments NDP’
07 04 02 M. Lunn
Like the other Southern Saskatchewan riding, Cypress Hills-Grasslands, this has been Conservative long before the party dominated Saskatchewan, so easy Tory win here.
07 04 02 Weyburn Guy
Ed Komarnicki won in 2004, despite splitting the conservative vote with former Saskatchewan premier Grant Devine, then won in a landslide in 2006. With Tory support fairly strong throughout the province, this mostly rural riding is a safe bet to go Conservative again.

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