Prediction Changed
10:36 AM 28/03/2007

Election Prediction Project

Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont
Federal Election - 2007

Constituency Profile

New Democratic
Butler, Mike
Hrushka, David Allan
Lake, Mike
Rankin, Naomi
Saroya, Indira

Mike Lake

2006 Result:
Mike Lake
Amarjit Grewal
Neal Gray
Kate Harrington
Kyle McLeod
Naomi Rankin

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result

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08 09 08 Willm
My guess is the party moved Uppal into Edmonton-Sherwood Park. Considering Uppal's strenght in Millwoods it would have been an easy win for Uppal to challange Lake for the Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont riding. Not good optics for the party or the PMO to displace a sitting MP.
08 02 16 A.S.
Wasn't there some catastrophe in the Liberal nomination camp here some months ago? If so, my, how the Grits have fallen since Kilgour times. Once one of only two Liberal seats remaining in Edmonton; now, well, I don't want to be cute by saying it could potentially be one of only two *Conservative* seats remaining in Edmonton. (Not because it's unlikely the Grits will do that well; but because there are better ‘last two seat’ candidates. Besides, ethnicity works to the Liberals' token favour here: it's sort of a polyglot pendant to Calgary Northeast, where the Grits got their best *Calgary* result last time.)
07 03 29 M. Lunn
This went Liberal more due to David Kilgour's personal popularity than strong Liberal support. While it may go Liberal here provincially, the Liberals provincially aren't despised in Alberta the way the federal Liberals are.
07 03 26 Jay
This seat was only competitive in the past because of David Kilgour, but from now on, it should be safely Conservative.
07 03 25 Daniel
Many people thought this riding would be a close one last time; it wasn't. It would appear that most of the Liberal support that existed in this riding was actually Kilgour support - meaning Mr. Lake should have no problem getting re-elected.

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