Prediction Changed
10:31 AM 02/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Edmonton-Leduc
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green
Kennedy, Valerie
Conservative
Rajotte, James
New Democratic
Razga, Hana
Liberal
Smith, Donna Lynn

Incumbent:
James Rajotte

2006 Result:
James Rajotte **
33764
Jim Jacuta
10856
Martin Rybiak
7685
Ben Morrison Pettit
3479

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 09 25 Alberta Dude
142.179.205.111
Rajotte is a dud and total lightweight. Fortunately for him he carries the Conservative banner. Party affiliation is the only factor that will help him win.
08 02 26 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Actually, the Tories in Edmonton-Leduc at large poll below Sherwood Park and Spruce Grove. And when one thinks of it, the ‘most conservative parts of Edmonton’ are more like the most affluent/conservative parts of Toronto, i.e. there's an inherent cosmopolitan quality that, in the right climate, could swing Liberal (and, in places, even NDP). At least, provincially. But federally, under Harper and Rajotte, the seat is bulletproof--it's just not as obviously top-of-the-Edmonton heap as it might have seemed in 88-93-97...
07 04 01 Rey D.R.
130.15.234.201
Southwest part of Edmonton, with neighbourhoods such as Riverbend and Brookview tends to be the most conservative. The Liberals barely had a chance when they had the old Edmonton Southwest boundaries, now that they included some bedroom communities like Devon and some rural areas in and around Leduc forget about it. Notwithstanding that James Rajotte is pretty locally popular as well. Easy Conservative win.
07 03 29 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
This is probably the most conservative party of the city, so the Tories should easily hold this one. This includes the provincial riding of Edmonton-Whitemud, which is the most conservative riding in the city and is also the only riding in 1988 where the Tories got above 50% and the only one the Reform Party got above 50% in 1993 and 1997.



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