Prediction Changed
10:39 AM 28/03/2007

Election Prediction Project

Federal Election - 2007

Constituency Profile

Calkins, Blaine
Dillon, Rita Katherine
Canadian Action
Mann, Shawn
Parsons, Les
New Democratic
Robson, Tim

Blaine Calkins

2006 Result:
Blaine Calkins
Jim Graves
Peter Crossley
Tom Lampman

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06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result

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08 02 16 A.S.
Once again, no opponents to CPC crested the 10% level. And I'm not sure how much a potential Grit/NDP/Green increase will hinge upon any specific suburban Edmontonness, especially as Edmonton's outer seats are already for the most part urban-exurban-rural hybrids that, in the case of Edmonton-Leduc especially, have chewed away at earlier iterations of Wetaskiwin. So think of it as less a ‘suburban Edmonton’ trend, and more a ‘QE2 Highway megalopolis’ trend...
07 09 16 Nick J Boragina
This is more then ‘just a rural Alberta riding that will go Conservative’
Wetaskiwin is a virtual suburb of Edmonton. It is within commuting distance, and people from Edmonton know about Wetaskiwin as a source of commuters. The area is growing, though not as fast as suburbs in other provinces partly due to the fact that Edmonton city limit has yet to fill up, but it is growing. From that I’d expect to see Liberal, NDP, and green votes increase. There is a good point though that the Tories took almost 36,000 votes here, while the combined opposition took around 12,000. Expect that second number to increase by about 2,000-4,000 while the first number holds steady. CPC win.
07 03 25 Ancastarian
A rural Alberta riding - guaranteed slam-dunk for the Conservatives.

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