Prediction Changed
10:39 AM 28/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
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Yellowhead
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Canadian Action
Brade, Melissa
Liberal
El-Rafih, Mohamed
New Democratic
Kuzminski, Ken
Conservative
Merrifield, Rob
Green
Schaefer, Monika
Christian Heritage
Wierenga, John M.

Incumbent:
Rob Merrifield

2006 Result:
Rob Merrifield **
30640
Noel Lapierre
4712
Nancy Love
4066
Monika Schaefer
2856
John Marvin Wierenga
765

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 02 16 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Last prediction time, I mentioned that this came closest to a 2nd place NDP finish in Alberta in '04. This time, it was one of eight such seats--even though the same candidate actually lost a smidgen of share. And we're talking about a barely 10% second place, at that. Such is Alberta in the age of PM Harper...
07 09 23 binriso
156.34.212.190
Easy Conservative win, Reform even did pretty well here in 88 with Manning even when they were a fringe party. Probably 70% of the votes for a win here for Merrifield. Also, Joe Clark resigned the seat and didnt run in 1993. He never lost it(although if he had run, theres a good chance he would have).
07 09 12 Nick J Boragina
74.14.16.208
Joe Clark lost this riding to some no-name reformer back in 1993. A clear sign that this riding likes to vote for social conservatives. It does not matter who the candidate is, so long as he shares that viewpoint, and the CPC will ensure that their candidate does.
07 03 25 Ancastarian
24.226.61.228
A rural Alberta riding - guaranteed slam-dunk for the Conservatives.....Despite how backwards their candidate may be...



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