Prediction Changed
10:34 AM 28/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
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Abbotsford
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green
Durant, Karen
Conservative
Fast, Ed
Marijuana
Felger, Tim
New Democratic
Rai, Bonnie
Liberal
Traverse, Lionel Dominique

Incumbent:
Ed Fast

2006 Result:
Ed Fast
29825
Jeffrey Hansen-Carlson
8004
David Oliver
5976
Stephanie Ashley-Pryce
2740
Tim Felger
334
Richard Gebert
173
David S. MacKay
86

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 09 13 Kevin Scott
66.37.168.131
This is one of the safest Conservative seats in Canada. Ed Fast is well-liked and seen as a kinder gentler alternative to his predecessor, the abrasive Randy White. Fast is supported by the local Mennonite and religious communities who historically select the successful politicians in the region. He has kept together a coalition of old Reform Party members, Joe Clark Conservatives, provincial Liberals as well as the local churches and the Indo-Canadian community. This election will be won by the Conservatives, no other party will come close to garnering their share of the vote.
07 04 22 A.S.
74.99.222.209
Actually, don't be surprised if the Grits make gains here, too--if only by default, as the '06 Liberal candidate aborted his campaign after a failed smear on the NDP. Anyway, here in Socred-in-91 country, it's all trivia in the inevitable electoral shadow of Fast Eddie...
07 04 21 Dave
24.85.55.147
Easy Ed Fast win. Very socially conservative riding. Look for the NDP and the Greens in my opinion to make gains, I believe the Environment and pollution to be a big issue here
07 04 06 Brian Appel
64.230.127.250
This is, easily, the most right-leaning riding in BC. It's been said before, actually, that in the BC bible belt, Abbotsford is the buckle. Lots of elderly folks, lots of Christians, lots of rural land. Easy hold for Fast.
07 03 28 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Unlike Vancouver which is knowing for being quite liberal, this is very conservative being on the opposite side on most issues of Vancouverites. Randy White's comments in 2004 may have cost the Conservatives the election federally, but he still won in a landslide, so I think that pretty much says it all. This is the most Conservative riding west of the Rockies and it is politically more in line with Alberta or the US Midwest in its thinking and voting patterns than most of British Columbia.
07 03 27 Nick J Boragina
74.99.228.118
This is the riding that for years elected Randy White to Parliament, perhaps the most right-wing member we have ever seen. Now that the tories have someone a bit more logical in place, I donít see that they will have any problems whatsoever in holding on to this riding. easy tory win.



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