Prediction Changed
10:34 AM 28/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
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Langley
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
New Democratic
Claxton, Andrew
Liberal
Gray, Jake
Christian Heritage
Gray, Ron
Green
Meyer, Patrick
Conservative
Warawa, Mark

Incumbent:
Mark Warawa

2006 Result:
Mark Warawa **
28577
Bill Brooks
12553
Angel Claypool
9993
Patrick Meyer
3023
Vicki Lee Sloan
211

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 09 13 Kevin Scott
66.37.168.131
This seat will remain Conservative, despite the fact that Mark Warawa is not the strongest candidate the Conservatives are running. He is not generally thought to be cabinet material, but will win on the strength of his party. This region has historically supported Conservative candidates, including Bob Wenman and Randy White. Steven Harper is very popular in this region and you can expect Warawa to ride his coat-tails into victory.
08 02 17 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Safe CPC (duh), but I'm not certain whether changing demos will mean a swing away from the Tories or just a swing away from Socred/BC Reform types running under the Tory banner. That is, Warawa may be the last of his personal line around here, even if he isn't the last of his political line around here...
07 09 12 Nick J Boragina
74.14.16.208
Half of the old Riding for Randy White (the most right-wing MP we have ever had) Langley is more moderate then itís sister, Abbotsford. That being said, the result here last time speaks for itself. At a time when the CPC result was down in the province, they still won this seat by a gigantic margin. No debate about it, another CPC victory.
07 04 03 S.Dyson
216.113.202.152
An unfortunate fact but still, Langley will remain Tory Red. But look for the demographics to change over the next few years. I would also like to point out that there is a slim chance that the NDP could edge out the Liberals for second place. If only 1260 Liberals had shifted to the NDP in Langley, the Langley Liberals would have finished an embarrassing third.
07 04 02 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
At the very edge of the GVRD and beginning of the Bible Belt, this is a solidly conservative riding that no matter how poorly they Tories do in the GVRD, they will win this one in a landslide.



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