Prediction Changed
4:25 PM 24/03/2007

Election Prediction Project

Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam
Federal Election - 2007

Constituency Profile

Brindamour, Rod
Gillespie, Rob
McKinnon, Ron
Moore, James
New Democratic
Royer, Zoë

James Moore

2006 Result:
James Moore **
Jon Kingsbury
Mary Woo Sims
Greg Watrich
Scott Froom
Lewis Dahlby

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result

Put your political/campaign ad here! See sponsorship details.

08 10 09 Tri-City voter
James Moore will easily win for a few reasons. He is by far the best candidate in this riding and has appeal far beyond the Conservative base. Also, Zoe Royer of the NDP is not a serious candidate. She really did poorly at the local all candidates' debates in Port Moody and at the Evergreen Cultural Centre, even drawing laughter on more than a few occaisions. Ron McKinnon comes across as an honest man but is a weak candidate. My election night result prediction is 50% Moore, 25% Royer, 20% McKinnon.
08 09 28 Big bad will
Easy win for James Moore. Here's why: Kingsbury was an extremely high profile candidate for the Liberals in this riding having just been mayor for 8 years of the regions most populous city. And he still lost substantially to the Conservatives. A undistinguished Liberal candidate probably meant that the Liberal party decided rather than get another high profile like Trasolini, that this riding was unwinnable and decided to save resources for closer races. Moore is an establishment, everybody knows him here.
08 09 11 CRS in PoMo
Conservatives will hold this - no contest. James has broad knowledge about local and national issues, respected in the community, and has a mature EDA and campaign team. The others parties currently have no presence in this riding.
08 02 03 A.S.
The Whitby-Oshawa comparison is quite apt. And like Jim Flaherty, James Moore probably brings some added personal reinforcement to whatever ‘natural’ Tory strength lies within. It's certainly telling that the NDP's no longer making vaunting claims to the seat (cf. earlier EPP episodes)
07 11 15 R.O.
Conservative hold for James Moooe mp as he is one of the more liked suburban vancouver tory mp's. and has held this riding since 2000 when he was first elected. he's a good fit for this riding and should have little trouble here.
07 10 27 King of Kensington
I'd say this is BC counterpart of Whitby-Oshawa...far enough removed from Vancouver to be Conservative territory. It is filled with the sort of suburban/exurban voters that Harper is targeting - what Environics calls the ‘blue collar comfort’ demographic.
07 04 10 Paulie
With an election call possibly weeks away, I'm ready to call this one Conservative.
The Liberals will win 25-30% of the vote, because they always do. But the absence of a candidate with any profile will not put them over the top.
The NDP? Forget it. They had a dismal candidate last time that was parachuted in by the party (Mary Woo Sims) and rumour has it that nobody wants to run there next time.
Green? No.
The question is how much of the vote Moore will get. I say over 50%, which he hasn't gotten since 2000.
07 03 21 Jim Schumer
Not even a question here. Moore will win big. Liberals invisible here and the Federal ndp party is a non-starter showing no resemblance to the popular ndp mla here. James does a good job and should be in cabinet.
07 03 21 M. Lunn
James Moore is a moderate and popular upcoming MP. It is too bad he didn't get a cabinet position as he was the closest Conservative MP to Vancouver of those elected as Conservatives. This riding leans conservative, but is not a safe one (like the North Shore ridings which went Liberal), rather James Moore represents this upper middle class riding that is fiscally conservative but socially progressive unlike the two North Shore candidates who were from the religious right. If their candidate was from the religious right, the Tories might be in trouble here.

Submit Information here

Provincial Index
Federal Election - 2007
Election Prediction Project -
© Milton Chan, 1999-2007 - Email Webmaster