Prediction Changed
1:05 PM 02/05/2007

Election Prediction Project

Ontario Provincial Election - 2007

Constituency Profile

Family Coalition
New Democratic
Progressive Conservative

Burlington (86%)
Joyce Savoline
Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Aldershot (12.9%)
Ted McMeekin
Halton (1.1%)
Ted Chudleigh

2003 Result (redistributed):

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07 10 04 Nick J Boragina
Burlington was the site of a CPC breakthrough in the greater GTA. It is a little more Conservative then its sister, Oakville, and it has a different feel to it as well to anyone whos ever been there. While Oakville feels like an old town that has grown, Burlington feel like a real suburb, a bedroom community that services not only Toronto but Hamilton as well. This kind of hybrid suburbs allows for people who work in both cities to live side by side, and these people tend to vote Conservative.
07 08 21 A.S.
What's interesting here is that the Liberal candidate, journalist/Sun columnist/VisionTV personality Marianne Meed Ward, is the sort one might have identified as a perfect Tory candidate--but it probably renders her little better than cannon fodder, anyway, especially in a seat that just doesn't ever want to knock out its provincial PCs, not even in landslide defeats or by-election situations...
07 08 11 RyanOntario
There was just a by-election in this riding this spring. the liberals ran Joan Lougheed a local councilor / mayoral candidate. If she couldn't win then i don't see the liberals doing much in this riding.
the new liberal candidate isn't that well known and inexperienced but i'm guessing you will still see the liberal leader visit this riding at least once during the election. since this riding is close to toronto and a urban riding you could say.
the new pc mpp Joyce Savoline has had a few months to get known in the riding and that should improve her chances of geting votes.
07 05 05 M. Lunn
This is one of the safest Tory ridings in the province. Hasn't gone anything but Tory since 1943 so with the Tories likely to do better than last election, I expect they will hold this one. 2003 was the best chance for the Liberals to gain this, so if they couldn't win this in 2003, there is no will they will pick it up in 2007.
07 03 24 Angry Ontarian
A recent by-election saw former Halton Region Chairwoman Joyce Savoline sweep the riding for the Conservatives by a convincing margin. Burlington has been Progressive Conservative for 60 years. No McGuinty campaign buses will be stopping here; this is safe territory for Savoline.

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