Prediction Changed
8:21 PM 06/05/2007

Election Prediction Project

Ontario Provincial Election - 2007

Constituency Profile

Family Coalition
New Democratic
Progressive Conservative

Leeds-Grenville (100%)
Robert W. Runciman

2003 Result (redistributed):

Put your political/campaign ad here! See sponsorship details.

07 10 06 Mark Thompson
Jeanie Warnock will not win Leeds-Grenville however based on politicians alone here, Warnock is Runciman's biggest threat. Bryden, and Kuhlmann both are awful candidates. Armstrong was the only reason the NDP did so well last election along with Mazurek for the Liberals. Without them leading the NDP and Liberal camps Runciman will win at least half the vote while Warnock benefits from the Liberal and NDP's weak campaigns.
07 09 21 Andrew Cox
PC Hold.
I was out here for the plowing match and can report Runciman is well ahead in the sign war.
For all the obvious reasons, I'm predicting he will hold his seat.
07 09 21 A.S.
Snore. The most election time coverage this seat earns is through the 3 leaders being invited to the International Plowing Match at Crosby. It means little or nothing to Runciman's cast-in-Rideau-stone riding. Though Lori Bryden isn't necessarily *that* weak as a Liberal, she's clearly here as a standard-bearer, not a victor...
07 09 16 Nick J Boragina
Runciman is a known name, even amongst those who don’t follow politics all that closely. Known names tend to fare better. Add to that a traditionally conservative riding (The Alliance came within a very close margin of winning this riding federally in 2000) and add weak candidates from the other parties, and you get a PC lock.
07 06 11 Northerner
Bob Runciman is a real conservative in a very conservative riding. This riding will go Conservative again - in spite of John Tory's Red Toryism.
07 05 05 M. Lunn
This went Tory even during the 1987 disaster and federally this was one of only three Ontario ridings where the Tories got over 50% in both 2004 and 2006, so Bob Runciman will easily hold this one.
07 05 02 Observer
Steve Mazurek did a great job bringing the Liberals within striking distance last time round. At the time everyone thought that Runciman would make the previous election his last and would leave during this term or perhaps at the end of it. Mazurek may very well have been able to beat a less entrenched Conservative newcomer. Runciman is back in for another race, McGuinty has not been popular in rural Eastern Ontario, Mazurek is out and the Liberals have no credible candidate. I heard rumours that previous NDP candidate Steve Armsrtong was interested. Thats a bad idea. This riding likes to vote AGAINST the government, so Runciman is stronger on the opposition benches. My prediction, Runciman wins in a landslide and soon makes way for a Steve Clark by-election.

Submit Information here

Regional Index
Ontario Provincial - 2007
Election Prediction Project -
© Milton Chan, 1999-2007 - Email Webmaster