Election Prediction Project
British Columbia Provincial Election 2009

Juan de Fuca

Prediction Changed
3:10 PM 26/04/2009

Constituency Profile

Horgan, John
Green Party
Powell, James Robert
Twa, Jody

Malahat-Juan de Fuca
(Approx. 75% of polls)
Previous Prediction: 2005 / 2001

(Approx. 25% of polls)
Previous Prediction: 2005 / 2001

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09 04 14 AHM
Jody Twa may have some of his own Colwood residents just had a 20% increase in their property taxes cause of Twa's legancy so being well known can work against someone rather than work in their favor. Also the bulk of the liberal support in might have been in the Malahat part which was lost as that where then Liberal candidate Cathy Baaskin is from.
09 02 19 DL
This seat went NDP by a wide margin last time. There is no reason for that to change - outside of one or two seats that have a concentration of retirees from Alberta - the NDP owns Vancouver Island.
09 02 09 Ellen
This riding has grown and changed dramatically since the last Provincial election. The return of a strong, business leaning municipal (Langford) council and the extremely close call for the federal Conservatives in the last election, indicates that this riding is ripe for a takeover by the popular past Mayor of Colwood and BCLiberal candidate, Jody Twa.
09 01 19 Burt R
This riding has become friendlier to the NDP and even so, Horgan will expend the full effort in retaining it. NDP hold.

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