Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2011


Prediction Changed
2009-08-28 16:57:00

Constituency Profile


Arsenault, Natalie

Chapman, Evelyne

LeBlanc, Dominic

Levi-Peters, Susan

Hon. Dominic LeBlanc

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • beausejour-petitcodiac (146/187 Polls)
  • miramichi (12/147 Polls)
  • moncton-riverview-dieppe (7/210 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits' Guide


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    11 04 02 C.A.B.
    This could very well be the only Liberal riding left in New Brunswick after this election - but it will certainly never fall to the Tories, nor to the NDP, even though they actually won here in 1997. Not to mention that, in the event that Ignatieff loses and resigns, LeBlanc also has a good shot at replacing him as leader.
    11 03 28 M. Lunn
    The only riding to go Liberal during the 1984 Tory landslide and without question the safest Liberal riding in New Brunswick. As an added bonus, Dominic Leblanc is a potential leader for the Liberals in the future.
    10 07 23 binriso
    Should be an easy win for the Liberals again. They may not gain any seats but surely they wont lose anymore.
    09 09 15 Phoenix
    There won't be any surprises here on election night. Dominic Leblanc enjoys a one-two punch of being an immensely popular MP in a strongly Liberal riding. Should the Liberals win the election, he'll no doubt have a high-profile cabinet portfolio - certainly more high-profile than the portfolios of either of NB's current cabinet ministers. Should the Liberals lose, his name will no doubt be bandied about as a leadership contender. Whether the Liberals win or lose federally, it's a win-win for Dominic Leblanc.
    09 08 28 Haligonian Political Junkie
    Dominic LeBlanc will easily hold onto Beausejour, regardless of larger regional or national voting trends. He is one of the most prominent of the new generation of younger Liberal MPs who represent the post-Chretien/Martin era and may even be a contender for the party leadership after Ignatieff (and would likely be a Cabinet possibility should Ignatieff win the election).

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