Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2011

Fundy Royal

Prediction Changed
2009-08-26 14:08:00

Constituency Profile


Coburn, Stephanie

Moore, Rob

Pitre, Darryl

Wilhelm, Linda

Rob Moore

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • beausejour-petitcodiac (41/187 Polls)
  • fundy-royal (108/195 Polls)
  • moncton-riverview-dieppe (19/210 Polls)
  • saint-john (3/167 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits' Guide


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    11 04 30 The Jackal
    A NDP prediction in Fundy-Royal really? I think people are getting carried away with this orange wave in the polls. The NDP may finish second here but win this riding. Not a chance.
    11 04 26 Teddy Boragina
    On the contrary, the NDP does have a mathematical base here, and if the NDP were to take 5 seats in the province, this would be one of them.
    The NDP, however, is nowhere near close to winning this riding in this election.
    11 04 23 NovAsCOTIAN
    Whoever predicted an NDP win must be nuts or not from the Maritimes. They have absolutely no chance in this riding.
    11 04 22 rights for women
    Last election NDP had 28% of the vote and the polls are moving up for the NDP, younger well educated independent women can see the moore's for who they really are. Rob moore and his pentecostal church needs to go. It's time to move from the stone age and get the church out of politics.
    11 04 02 C.A.B.
    In 2004, John Herron became the only Tory-to-Liberal turncoat of that cycle to lose his seat, and to the former Alliance candidate, no less! And even though it took Rob Moore until 2008 to finally secure a majority of the vote, he's still just as safe as Mike Allen and John Williamson further west. What will be interesting to see is how the NDP do - their candidate, the similarly-named Rob Moir, brought them to 24% and second place last time, their best result in New Brunswick save for Yvon Godin. Moir has since moved to Saint John - will his replacement be able to pick up the slack?
    11 03 29 Nick J ‘Teddy’ Boragina
    Moore has won this riding in 2004, 2006, and 2008. He was the Canadian Alliance candidate in 2000. That's really all that needs to be said. He will win again without question.
    11 03 28 M. Lunn
    This has gone Tory in all but one election in the past 80 years. Even during the 2004 election when many Red Tories in Atlantic Canada were very skeptical of the Conservatives they still won this, thus easily Tory win. The real question is do they break the 50% mark or not. Either way it will be close.
    10 03 09 binriso
    In one of the most conservative (big and small c) parts of the only province that continues to fight the Morgentaler decision and federal abortion laws, the Christian Heritage Party might do well to run here. But other than that it is CPC.
    09 08 25 Sean P.F.
    The only time this riding has not voted Conservative since 1930 is in 1993, when the Chretien Liberals almost swept Atlantic Canada.
    Rob Moore and the Conservatives have this riding in the bag. No contest.

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