Projet D'Élection Prévision

élection générale (Canada) - 2011


La prévision a changé
2009-08-24 10:18:00

Profil de circonscription


Deschamps, Fernand

Dion, Stéphane

Fayad, William

Florez, Maria Ximena

Landry, Tim

Litvin, Svetlana

L'hon. Stéphane Dion

prévision historiques

  • 2008 prévision
  • 2006 prévision
  • 2004 prévision
  • 2000 prévision
  • saint-laurent-cartierville (171/171 Polls)
  • Référence:

  • Pundits’ Guide


    Nous n'aimons pas des films publicitaires non plus, mais quelqu'un doivent payer le loyer. Remplacez-l'avec votre annonce de campagne ! Voir les détails de patronage.

    11 04 26 binriso
    This is likely the safest seat in Quebec for the Liberals since they may have a single digit seat total when this election is all said and done with.....
    11 04 21 MF
    St. Laurent-Cartierville is of course a very safe Liberal riding, though I'm amazed that Stephane Dion even wants to run again. He's quite the team player. Still given the NDP surge in Quebec, I can imagine Dion stepping aside and Janine Krieber running here for the NDP next time around.
    11 04 01 R.O.
    what ever happened to dion ? he went from liberal leader to virtually disappearing . i'm surprised he's running again i don't really understand why he decided to stay in federal politics after his leadership / coalition attempt disaster but its unlikely he loses this safe montreal liberal riding to any of the other candidates running.
    Qu'est-il arrivé à Dion? il est passé de chef du Parti libéral à la quasi-disparition. Je suis surpris qu'il court encore, je ne comprends pas vraiment pourquoi il a décidé de surseoir à la politique fédérale après son leadership en cas de catastrophe tentative de coalition, mais son peu probable qu'il perd ce coffre-fort libérale de la circonscription de Montréal à l'un des autres candidats.
    11 03 29 Marco Ricci
    Dion's win in 2008 was the largest of any Liberal seat in Quebec. This could actually be the new safest Liberal seat in QC.
    11 03 28 M.Lunn
    Stephane Dion may have bombed nationally, but he is still well liked here. Also as a mixed riding of Francophones, Allophones, and Anglophones, the Liberals are without question the party that appeals the best to this diverse riding
    11 03 28 Tony Ducey
    Dion has been under-whelming since he resigned as Liberal leader, so much so that I didn't expect him to run again. That said I like him to win the election and re-sign during the next term.
    09 09 26 Smok Wawelski
    I like your thinking, Nick. If EMay had half a brain, she'd be courting Dion as her candidate in St Laurent. He would actually have a fair chance of winning as a Greenie, all the more if EMay stepped aside as leader and allowed Dion to take her place at the helm.
    Nevertheless, I think Dion will be a good Liberal soldier and carry the red into yet another election. I think he hopes to redeem himself Joe Clark style, by getting into cabinet again and serving honourably.
    A final thought: Until today, it appeared that Coderre had a prett good handle on who was going to be a Quebec canadidate and who would be thrown under the bus, and the rumours I had heard were that Dion, Patry and Folco were going to be pushed out. With Cauchon winning the battle over Outremont, Coderre likely does not have the same clout anymore, and should tread carefully. However, if he did purge Dion, I think you would see him run as a Green.
    09 09 25 Dr Bear & Prof Ape
    We couldn't agree more with Nick re: Dion winning even if he would run under another banner and with Smok re: Dion serving brilliantly in another's cabinet and repairing a tarnished image. Might we point to Stockwell Day being yet another example.
    09 09 23 Nick J Boragina
    I predict this riding will go Liberal with one proviso. This riding will elect Dion in the next election if it can. That means if Dion does something unexpected like runs as an Indy, or even a Green, that he will hold on to the seat.
    At this time, however, suggestions of the above are quite silly indeed.
    09 08 26 Smok Wawelski
    Only reason to weigh in on this Liberal slam dunk (they could run Earl Jones as a Grit, and he'd win in a walk) is to offer the suggestion that perhaps Stephane Dion will emerge as a Joe Clark style figure in an eventual Liberal government.... for those born post 1988, Joe Clark served brian Mulroney's governments with great distinction, and in so doing repaired a tattered image.
    09 08 24 R.O.
    The liberals will easy hold this riding even though Stephane Dion is its mp and he may or may not run again as he is not liberal leader anymore after the disasterous 2008 election. but i suspect he will run again and keep the house of commons interesting during question period if nothing else.
    Les libéraux vont facilement organiser cette circonscription, même si Stéphane Dion est son député et il a mai ou mai ne pas courir de nouveau comme il n'est pas chef du Parti libéral plus après la désastreuse électorale de 2008. mais je soupçonne qu'il recommence à courir et garder la Chambre des communes intéressants au cours de la période des questions, si rien d'autre.

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