Election Prediction Project

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05

Constituency Profile

Labour Party
Andrew Dismore
Green Party
Andrew Newby
Liberal Democrats
Matthew Harris
Conservative Party
Matthew Offord
UK Independence Party
Robin Lambert

Mr Andrew Dismore
Hendon (95.9 %)


Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus


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10 04 22 Former Resident
Looks a tough one to call - may depend on national polling closer to election day. A top target for the Tories.
>From the Jewish Chronicle, April 8:
In recent weeks voters in Hendon have been preoccupied more with matzah prices than turnout forecasts and swing percentages.
But they are now likely to find themselves at the forefront of fevered election activity.
Labour's Andrew Dismore, who has held the seat since 1997, faces a critical challenge from Tory Matthew Offord and the Liberal Democrats' Matthew Harris, who is Jewish.
Although the constituency is ranked 73rd on the Tories' list of targets, analysts put it in the top four of the essential 80 seats the party must win to topple Gordon Brown.

David Cameron's troops must gain 116 seats for an overall Commons majority. Hendon, requiring just a four per cent swing away from Labour, is very much up for grabs.
Senior politicians have already visited; Foreign Secretary David Miliband popped in to a school last month, days after former Tory leader William Hague spoke to local members of Conservative Friends of Israel.

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