Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Croydon North


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Communist Party of Britain
Ben Stevenson
Liberal Democrats
Gerry Jerome
Conservative Party
Jason Hadden
UK Independence Party
Jonathan Serter
Labour Party
Malcolm Wicks
Independent
Mohamed Seyed Mohamed
Respect
Mohommad Shaikh
Christian Party
Novlette Williams
Green Party
Shasha Khan

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Malcolm Wicks
Croydon North (100 %)
Mr Andrew Pelling
Croydon Central (2.9 %)

Electorate:
Current
79819
2005
86176

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
24259
10119
7791
Other
3119

 


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09 03 17 Predictor
204.9.162.70
Croydon North is an ethnically mixed half-way out London suburb of the sort which has been trending to Labour for 20-30 years and it had an enormous swing in 1997 which removed it from marginal status. Once upon a time the Liberals held it (1981-83) after a by-election but their support has dissipated.



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