Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Islington North


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Adrian Berrill-Cox
UK Independence Party
Dominic Lennon
Green Party
Emma Dixon
Labour Party
Jeremy Corbyn
Liberal Democrats
Rhodri Jamieson-Ball

Incumbent:
Jeremy Corbyn
Islington North (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
61054
2005
58427

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16117
3740
9401
Other
2234

 


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10 04 29 Larry
142.107.187.43
Would expect an experienced campaigner like Jeremy Corbyn to hold the seat. But I am sure the Lib Dems will come very close possibly the margin may be between 1500-2000 votes.
10 04 25 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
Now this seat will be interesting to watch.
If Labour can hold on, it proves maybe things are not so bad for them. If, however, the LibDems can steal it, it would mean that party has really broken though.
10 04 25 Former resident
64.231.163.113
LD target #117. Incumbent has held since 1983, a previous historic election low for Labour, and is a left wing rebel who has frequently defied the now unpopular government.
No expense issues. The local incumbent popularity will probably carry him through what could otherwise have been a very rough LD ride.
Lab Hold.
Ladbrokes: Lab 1/7 LD 4/1 Con 100/1



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