Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Mitcham and Morden


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Andrew Mills
Liberal Democrats
Diana Coman
Independent
Ernest Arthur Redgrave
Conservative Party
Melanie Hampton
Independent
Rathy Alagaratnam
Labour Party
Siobhain McDonagh
Green Party
Smarajit Roy
British National Party
Tony Martin

Incumbent:
Siobhain McDonagh
Mitcham & Morden (98.9 %)

Electorate:
Current
65629
2005
64914

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
22562
9820
5479
Other
1885

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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