Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Battersea


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:03:54
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Christopher MacDonald
Green Party
Guy Evans
Hugh Salmon for Battersea Party
Hugh Salmon
Conservative Party
Jane Ellison
Liberal Democrats
Layla Moran
Labour Party
Martin Linton
Independent
Tom Fox

Incumbent:
Martin Linton
Battersea (98.1 %)
Justine Greening
Putney (2.1 %)

Electorate:
Current
67111
2005
69488

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16610
16347
5984
Other
2079

 


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10 05 02 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
A Conservative pick up for sure. 300 votes will not be that hard to find whatsoever.
10 04 09 Rob- London
141.92.129.45
The gentrification of Battersea has been exaggerated by many commentators in the past- though the area has witnessed a significant increase in young professionals and commuters to the City. This coupled with the tiny majority enjoyed by Labour and the general swing against them nationally should make this seat one of the Tories easiest victories in 2010.
09 03 17 Predictor
204.9.162.70
Despite electing Labour MP since the shock of 1997, Battersea has continued to vote strongly Tory in local elections. Battersea's upwardly-mobile population have shown themselves to prefer winners to losers. If Cameron becomes PM, this will be a Tory pickup.



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