Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Reading East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Adrian Pitfield
Labour Party
Anneliese Dodds
Liberal Democrats
Gareth Epps
Independent
Joan Lloyd
Independent
Michael Turberville
Green Party
Rob White
Conservative Party
Rob Wilson

Incumbent:
Mr Rob Wilson
Reading East (97.9 %)

Electorate:
Current
72788
2005
71480

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
14595
15381
10508
Other
2652

 


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10 05 02 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
Labour is down in the polls, so they can't hold on. The LibDems are indeed up, but not as far as they were during the height of cleggmania. The Tories however seem on a slow but constant march upwards. They will win here.
10 04 19 EP
99.162.224.34
This seat went to the Tories in the most unusual circumstances last time, with the sitting Labour MP was ruthlessly ousted in the nomination round (after well-publicised feud with Martin Salter next door) and then the newly selected candidate receiving terrible coverage for past indiscretions. But the labour base is there in Reading East, arguably more so then Reading West. This may be one rare seat where Labour gain back while their national number slide south.



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