Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Beaconsfield


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
A Vote Against MP Expense Abuse
Andrew Cowen
UK Independence Party
Delphine Gray-Fisk
Conservative Party
Dominic Grieve
Green Party
Jem Bailey
Labour Party
Jeremy Miles
Liberal Democrats
John Edwards
Independent
Quentin Baron

Incumbent:
Mr Dominic Grieve
Beaconsfield (90.6 %)
Mr Paul Goodman
Wycombe (14.8 %)

Electorate:
Current
72604
2005
72225

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
8707
24834
10191
Other
2253

 


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09 09 29 J.Mc.
24.32.250.213
This riding has been traditionally Conservative for many years - Beaconsfield was represented by such Conservative heavyweights as Edmund Burke in the 18th Century, and Benjamin Disraeli in the 19th Century, and was also home to prominent social conservative commentator G.K. Chesterton in the early 20th Century. With this kind of history, and the margin won by the incumbent, I say Conservative hold.
09 03 07
99.231.184.167
Seat of a prominent shadow cabinet minister + large margin from previous elections = easy keep for Conservative.



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