Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Witney


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:07:29
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Independent
Aaron Barschak
Wessex Regionalists
Colin Bex
Conservative Party
David Cameron
Liberal Democrats
Dawn Barnes
Official Monster Raving Loony Party
Howling Laud Hope
Labour Party
Joe Goldberg
Independent
Johnnie Cook
UK Independence Party
Nikolai Tolstoy
Independent
Paul Wesson
Green Party
Stuart Macdonald

Incumbent:
Rt Hon David Cameron
Witney (96.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
72275
2005
75118

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
11495
25612
11700
Other
3035

 


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09 02 26 Matt Foster
173.32.156.2
David Cameron should win easily here as Witney is likely among the safest seats in the entire election. UK Polling indicates that Cameron is ahead of Brown at 42% to 29% respectively. Assuming these numbers hold, this will be the next Prime Minister's constituency.
09 02 18 M. Lunn
99.234.68.92
This seat is a given as it is the Conservative leader's seat and considering that every poll shows the Conservatives will likely do better than in 2005, David Cameron should easily win this. In all likelihood, this will be the seat of Britain's next prime-minister.



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