Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Mid Sussex


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Official Monster Raving Loony Party
Baron Von Thunderclap
Labour Party
David Boot
UK Independence Party
Marc Montgomery
Conservative Party
Nicholas Soames
Green Party
Paul Brown
Liberal Democrats
Serena Tierney
British National Party
Stuart Minihane

Incumbent:
Hon Nicholas Soames
Mid Sussex (98.3 %)
Mr Nick Herbert
Arundel & South Downs (4.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
73822
2005
74878

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
6621
24593
18524
Other
1646

 


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10 04 26 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
Last election the LibDems placed a strong second here, it should be enough for them to make it past the post this time. Traditionally, areas in the Home Counties, vote Tory. There are a few places that break that trend, however.
10 04 05 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Even when they were losing badly overall, the Tories managed to rack up healthy margin in the area. With their numbers ticking up, this would be one of the earliest seats to be declared blue.



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