Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

North Cornwall


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:23:10
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Dan Rogerson
Labour Party
Janet Hulme
Mebyon Kernow
Joanie Willet
UK Independence Party
Miriel Damerell-O'Connor
Conservative Party
Sian Flynn

Incumbent:
Dan Rogerson
North Cornwall (72.6 %)
Mr Colin Breed
South East Cornwall (2.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
62214
2005
65008

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
5342
14106
18638
Minor
Parties
2506
Other
1355

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
Very easy LD hold.
With Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate, the Lib Dems are up 12% nationally on their 2005 showing, and the Tories are barely improving (2005: Lab 41, Con 32, LD 18; 2010: Con 33, LD 30, Lab 27).
10 04 14 EP
204.9.162.70
Rogerson may suffer a bit due to his support for the all-Cornwall unitary decision, but unlikely enough to cost him the seat. A tight race at this point.



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