Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Torridge and West Devon


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 12:27:32
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Adam Symons
Green Party
Cathrine Simmons
Labour Party
Darren Jones
Conservative Party
Geoffrey Cox
British National Party
Nick Baker
UK Independence Party
Robin Julian

Incumbent:
Mr Geoffrey Cox
Torridge & West Devon (82.9 %)
Mr Gary Streeter
South West Devon (4.1 %)

Electorate:
Current
68720
2005
72133

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
5771
19637
19689
Other
5475

 


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10 04 25 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
Recent polls show a national three way race, with the Tories on or near their same vote share last time, but the LibDems getting one and a half times their vote last go. Considering they win this seat notionally, I cannot see them losing here.
09 09 25 EP
204.9.162.70
Given the massive swing from LD to Con in the recent Devon local election, this seat can be safely placed in the Conservative column.



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