Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Andrew Leigh
Independent
Brian Gerrish
Liberal Democrats
Dr Judy Evans
Labour Party
Linda Gilroy
Conservative Party
Oliver Colvile
Socialist Labour Party
Robert Oliver Hawkins
Green Party
Tony Brown

Incumbent:
Linda Gilroy
Plymouth, Sutton (95.7 %)
Alison Seabeck
Plymouth, Devonport (1.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
73240
2005
71929

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16491
11936
9119
Minor
Parties
622
Other
2775

 


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10 04 24
70.29.18.217
With the Labour vote collapsing and the LD vote surging, this looks to be a LD gain.
With Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate, the Lib Dems are up 12% nationally on their 2005 showing, and the Tories are barely improving (2005: Lab 41, Con 32, LD 18; 2010: Con 33, LD 30, Lab 27).
10 04 14 EP
204.9.162.70
This seat has some strong Tory elements such as Compton (with Mannamead and Hartley), Eggbuckland, Stoke, and Peverell. They will all be easily mobilized. Labour will rely on the votes in Devonport proper and St. Peter, and their success will depends on how well they turn them out. TCTC



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