Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Bournemouth East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
David Hughes
Labour Party
David Stokes
Liberal Democrats
Lisa Northover
Independent
Steven J Humphrey
Conservative Party
Tobias Ellwood

Incumbent:
Mr Tobias Ellwood
Bournemouth East (94.2 %)
Sir John Butterfill
Bournemouth West (17.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
68895
2005
70886

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
7649
18591
12820
Other
2295

 


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10 04 25 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
Popular or not, this MP is going down to the orange wave of of the Liberal Democrats.
Cleggmania is all over, but nowhere are the LibDems are as strong as they are in the southwest. The party is poised to paint the entire region orange as they sweep to 100 seats or more in Parliament.
09 05 15 Dorset7
86.154.245.107
Current MP is well liked and not involved in expense scandal and also has one of the lowest claims in the area. He has also offered in the local paper to go through his expenses with anyone who is interested
09 04 28 DD
86.162.30.139
Tobias Ellwood has been working this constituency hard, I can't see him losing this seat particularly as the Lib Dems haven't even chosen a candidate as yet.



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