Election Prediction Project

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:14:18

Constituency Profile

Labour Party
Andy Merryfield
Green Party
Chris Briton
Conservative Party
David Heathcoat-Amory
UK Independence Party
Jake Baynes
British National Party
Richard Boyce
Liberal Democrats
Tessa Munt

Rt Hon David Heathcoat-Amory
Wells (100 %)


Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus


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10 04 28 BBC NEWS
UKIP asks voters to back Tories
The leader of UKIP has written to a newspaper group in Somerset urging voters to support the Conservatives rather than his party's candidates.
Lord Pearson said constituents should back the Tory candidates in Wells, Somerton and Frome, and Taunton Deane.
The party has asked its candidate in Wells, Jake Baynes, to stand down, but he has so far refused.
UKIP have a policy of supporting eurosceptics from other parties, which they choose not to stand against.
The party's candidate in Taunton Deane Tony McIntyre, said last night that he had not been told to step aside, and knew nothing about the open letter to Mid Somerset News and Media until he was contacted by the BBC.
Mr Baynes is standing in Wells against Tory eurosceptic David Heathcoat-Amory.
Speaking earlier this month, Mr Baynes said he disagreed with the policy that UKIP should not contest Westminster seats against other genuinely eurosceptic candidates.
?To stand down would be a betrayal... it probably has ruffled a few feathers, but it'll be water off a duck's back at the end of the day,? he said.
Lord Pearson has admitted there has been some ?disagreement? with Mr Baynes, but that he would not force him to stand down.
Mr Heathcoat-Amory has said he did not believe the number of people voting for him would be affected by whether or not Mr Baynes stood for election.
The other candidates standing in Wells are Richard Boyce, British National Party; Chris Briton, Green; Andy Merryfield, Labour; and Tessa Munt, Liberal Democrat.
Taunton Deane's other candidates are Jeremy Browne, Liberal Democrat; Mark Formosa, Conservative; and Martin Jevon, Labour.
The full list of candidates in
is Barry Harding, UK Independence Party; David Heath, Liberal Democrats; David Oakensen, Labour; Annunziata Rees-Mogg, Conservative; Niall Warry, Independent Leave-the-EU Alliance.
Story from BBC NEWS:
Published: 2010/04/28 08:20:00 GMT
10 04 25 ridingbyriding
The Tories are no longer on an upswing, the LDs are, and by a huge margin, up 150% from last time. They should be able to easily take this seat.
10 04 14 EP
While always a marginal seat, Wells has been a Tory seat since 1945. With them performing well in the local elections, hard to see them losing while they are on an upswing.

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