Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Luton South


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Charles Lawman
Independent
Esther Rantzen
Independent
Faruk Choudhury
Workers Revolutionary Party
Frank Sweeney
Labour Party
Gavin Shuker
Independent
Joe Hall
Green Party
Marc Scheimann
Conservative Party
Nigel Huddleston
Liberal Democrats
Qurban Hussain
Independent
Stephen Lathwell
Independent
Stephen Rhodes
British National Party
Tony Blakey

Incumbent:
Margaret Moran
Luton South (99.7 %)

Electorate:
Current
69326
2005
71739

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16561
10930
8749
Other
2560

 


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10 04 27 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
The gap here is just too large. While the sitting MP may be tainted, she is not running again. Labour should be able to hold on with a margin of a few thousand votes.
09 05 29 BBC News
204.9.162.70
MPs Kirkbride and Moran to quit
Tory MP Julie Kirkbride and Labour's Margaret Moran are standing down at the election after expenses revelations.
...
Ms Moran, who has been under pressure over her £22,000 dry rot claim, said she was quitting ‘with great sadness’.
...
'Nothing wrong'
Ms Moran's decision to stand down came amid speculation about her future after it emerged she claimed £22,500 for treating dry rot in her designated second home in Southampton - 100 miles from her Luton South constituency.
Although she had repaid the money a Labour panel had been due to decide whether she could stand for the party again.
Ms Moran, 54, said she had taken the decision in the interests of her family but insisted she had done nothing ‘wrong or dishonest’ in her expenses claims.
...
Published: 2009/05/28 21:59:39 GMT



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