Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Watford


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
Andrew Emerson
Labour Party
Claire Ward
UK Independence Party
Graham Eardley
Green Party
Ian Brandon
Conservative Party
Richard Harrington
Liberal Democrats
Sal Brinton

Incumbent:
Claire Ward
Watford (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
76331
2005
76261

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16572
14631
15425
Other
2759

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
Easy LD gain - a 3-way marginal, and in their top 15 target seats.
The LD's will benefit hugely from Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate. This is one of many seats where they will see that benefit.
10 04 20 Predictor
99.211.152.63
The one thing that is for sure is that Ward will lose here. Whether she is defeated by a Tory or the LibDems remains to be seen. I suspect Labour voters are going to abandon her in sizable number and vote LibDem just to block the Tories.



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