Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

South West Norfolk


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
Dennis Pearce
Conservative Party
Elizabeth Truss
UK Independence Party
Kay Hipsey
Green Party
Lori Allen
Labour Party
Peter Smith
Liberal Democrats
Stephen Gordon

Incumbent:
Christopher Fraser
South West Norfolk (73.2 %)
Mr Henry Bellingham
North West Norfolk (9.3 %)

Electorate:
Current
67666
2005
72198

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
13862
20642
8067
Other
2465

 


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09 11 16 http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/836198
204.9.162.70
Tory faces deselection meeting
A meeting to decide whether to deselect Tory parliamentary candidate Elizabeth Truss because of her affair with an MP four years ago is to be held later.
South West Norfolk Conservative Association is holding a full meeting of its 400 members on Monday evening.
She has been criticised for not telling them about her much publicised affair with Tory MP Mark Field in 2004/05.
Ms Truss says she let the national party know about the affair but it was not passed on to the local party.
The decision to call a deselection vote has caused tensions with the national party, as Ms Truss is on David Cameron's A-list of would-be candidates.
'Water under bridge'
Ms Truss, a councillor in Greenwich, south east London, and deputy director of the centre-right think-tank Reform, was chosen as the constituency's parliamentary candidate last moth.
Some South West Norfolk Tory members say that are angry that she did not mention her affair during a selection interview.
They say that, when told of this unease, the national party responded that the panel could have found out about it by putting her name into the Google search engine, because it had previously been reported in the press.
South West Norfolk Conservative Association's chairman David Hills is understood to support Ms Truss, who stood for the Conservatives in Calder Valley in West Yorkshire at the 2005 election.
Speaking about the affair earlier this month, she said: ?It's been public for some years now.
?I am really sorry about that [affair]. It's a mistake I made and as far as me and my husband are concerned it's water under the bridge.
?It's more an issue about communication within the party.?
09 05 29 BBC
204.9.162.70
MP Fraser poised to leave Commons
A Conservative MP whose expenses claims were highlighted in the Daily Telegraph has said he will be standing down at the next general election.
Christopher Fraser, MP for South West Norfolk, says he will quit for personal reasons to care for his ill wife.
The newspaper said Mr Fraser had claimed £1,800 in public money to buy more than 200 trees in his garden.
Fellow Tory MP Julie Kirkbride and Labour's Margaret Moran have already announced their departures on Thursday.
'Great sadness'
Mr Fraser is the eighth Tory MP to decide not to defend their seat since the furore over parliamentary expenses began nearly three weeks ago.
A number have been forced out by the party leadership after making expense claims deemed to be unacceptable.
‘ My wife's ongoing health problems....have made it difficult to juggle my family life with my duties as an MP ‘
Christopher Fraser
But Mr Fraser said his own decision to leave Parliament had ‘nothing to do’ with his expenses.
He said he had been considering his position for some time due to his family circumstances and had decided, with ‘great sadness’, not to stand again.
‘My wife's ongoing health problems....have made it difficult to juggle my family life with my duties as an MP,’ he told the Lynn News newspaper.
According to the Daily Telegraph, Mr Fraser claimed £1,800 in public money for buying 215 trees and marking out the boundary of his second home in his constituency.
He had also faced questions in the constituency about the revelation that he had earmarked a property in the Dorset as his main home.
Mr Fraser said he had been open about his claims, which were within the rules, and that he had submitted them to an internal Tory panel for scrutiny.
Mr Fraser was elected to represent his present constituency in 2005, having previously served as MP for Mid Dorset and Poole between 1997 and 2001.



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