Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Harborough


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
English Democrats Party
David Ball
Conservative Party
Edward Garnier
British National Party
Geoff Dickens
Independent
Jeff Stephenson
Labour Party
Kevin McKeever
UK Independence Party
Marietta King
Liberal Democrats
Zuffar Haq

Incumbent:
Mr Edward Garnier
Harborough (99.7 %)
Mr Andrew Robathan
Blaby (1.1 %)

Electorate:
Current
72881
2005
75159

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
9421
20623
16724
Other
1538

 


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10 05 04 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
The Tories are too far ahead. Unlike LibDem-Labour contests, where the LibDems are up, and Labour is down, both the LibDems and Tories are up - it makes it that much harder for the LibDems to close a larger gap, especially in areas like the Midlands where they are not traditionally popular (and hence may well lack a strong party machine)
10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
Very interesting battle, with the LDs trying to unseat a Tory. #26 LD target, the sitting Tory had some issues with expense claims but is standing again. Boundary changes have benefitted the Tories however.
One to call closer to election day.
Ladbrokes: Con 1/4, LD 11/4



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