Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Cannock Chase


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Aidan Burley
Liberal Democrats
Jon Hunt
UK Independence Party
Malcolm McKenzie
Independent
Mike Walters
Independent
Ron Turville
Get Snouts Out The Trough
Royston Jenkins
Labour Party
Sue Woodward
British National Party
Terence Majorowicz

Incumbent:
Dr Tony Wright
Cannock Chase (96.3 %)

Electorate:
Current
70995
2005
72404

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
20994
12460
5936
Other
2168

 


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10 04 28 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
The gap here is too large for the Tories to be able to win on current polling levels. The Tories would need to be a solid 10 points ahead of Labour to take this seat.
10 04 20 EP
99.162.224.34
While Labour enjoys a sizable margin here, their vote is really soft. Woodward knows the district well as Wright's former assistant, but with the poor state Labour is in in the region, I doubt she would hold this.



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