Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Newcastle-under-Lyme


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
David Nixon
Liberal Democrats
Nigel Jones
Labour Party
Paul Farrelly
Conservative Party
Robert Jenrick

Incumbent:
Paul Farrelly
Newcastle-under-Lyme (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
66701
2005
68414

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18052
9944
7528
Other
4262

 


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10 04 20 EP
99.162.224.34
Labour held for over 70 years and have a 8000+ majority in 2005. However, since then Labour has slipped from running the borough council with a majority, to being the third party and losing all the county seats. They are still favoured to win, but this may actually be competitive.



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