Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Birmingham, Hall Green


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Alan Blumenthal
Independent
Andrew Gardner
Liberal Democrats
Jerry Evans
Conservative Party
Jo Barker
Labour Party
Roger Godsiff
Respect
Salma Yaqoob

Incumbent:
Mr Roger Godsiff
Birmingham, Sparkbrook & Small Heath (47.5 %)
Stephen McCabe
Birmingham, Hall Green (36.7 %)
Lynne Jones
Birmingham, Selly Oak (23.9 %)
Ms Gisela Stuart
Birmingham, Edgbaston (2 %)

Electorate:
Current
74814
2005
74132

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16659
6740
11470
Minor
Parties
4457
Other
2243

 


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10 05 03 Adrian Bailey
82.36.129.101
The information coming from the seat suggests that the LibDems are on course to win by a clear margin - perhaps a 5,000 majority - and the betting markets agree.
10 04 24 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
I'm actually going to go Respect here. Labour has been consistently third in the polls and those votes have to come from and go to somewhere.
10 04 20 EP
99.162.224.34
This got to be the most interesting of the Birmingham seats. This whole paedophiles leaflets business shows that Labour is desperate even in a safe seat like this. With Yaqoob standing for Respect, Labour might just have too many fires to put out to retain this seat. TCTC right now.



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