Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

West Bromwich East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Alistair Thompson
Liberal Democrats
Ian Garrett
English Democrats Party
Mark Cowles
UK Independence Party
Steve Grey
British National Party
Terry Lewin
Labour Party
Tom Watson

Incumbent:
Mr Tom Watson
West Bromwich East (99.9 %)
Mr Adrian Bailey
West Bromwich West (2.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
64538
2005
62094

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
20204
8235
4578
Minor
Parties
2328
Other
967

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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