Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Redditch


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:36:28
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
Andy Ingram
UK Independence Party
Anne Davis
Christian Party
Beverley Scott
Nobody Party
Derek Fletcher
Labour Party
Jacqui Smith
Conservative Party
Karen Lumley
Green Party
Kevin White
Liberal Democrats
Nicholas Lane
Independent
Paul Swansborough
English Democrats Party
Vincent Schittone

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Jacqui Smith
Redditch (100 %)
Peter Luff
Mid Worcestershire (2.6 %)

Electorate:
Current
64501
2005
65970

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18188
16060
5904
Other
1383

 


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10 05 03 Adrian Bailey
82.36.129.101
Jacqui Smith's fame is a double-edged sword, and won't protect her from defeat in this marginal seat. There are easily enough Conservative voters to topple her, but the majority may be smaller than some are expecting.
10 04 20 EP
99.162.224.34
I think the fact that Jacqui Smith is running suggests that Labour has not given up all hope in Redditch. Her prominance (minus cabinet status) may enable her to retain this marginal seat.



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