Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Rotherham


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Caven Vines
Labour Party
Denis MacShane
Conservative Party
Jackie Whiteley
British National Party
Marlene Guest
Independent
Peter Thirlwall
Liberal Democrats
Rebecca Taylor

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Denis MacShane
Rotherham (90.1 %)
Rt Hon Kevin Barron
Rother Valley (12.2 %)
Rt Hon John Healey
Wentworth (7.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
65305
2005
61833

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19873
4351
5501
Other
4631

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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