Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Hemsworth


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Alan Belmore
Conservative Party
Ann Myatt
British National Party
Ian Kitchen
Independent
Ian Womersley
Labour Party
Jon Trickett

Incumbent:
Jon Trickett
Hemsworth (98.9 %)
Rt Hon Ed Balls
Normanton (3.3 %)
Mary Creagh
Wakefield (2.6 %)

Electorate:
Current
71988
2005
70601

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
22459
8467
6023
Other
1774

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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