Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Middlesbrough


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:03:02
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Chris Foote Wood
Independent
Joan Mctigue
Conservative Party
John Walsh
British National Party
Michael Ferguson
UK Independence Party
Robert Parker
Labour Party
Stuart Bell

Incumbent:
Sir Stuart Bell
Middlesbrough (98.8 %)
Dr Ashok Kumar
Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland (1.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
69638
2005
65976

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18631
5365
5936
Other
2330

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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