Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Redcar


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:29:33
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
Hannah Walter
Liberal Democrats
Ian Swales
British National Party
Kevin Broughton
UK Independence Party
Martin Bulmer
Conservative Party
Steven Mastin
Labour Party
Vera Baird

Incumbent:
Vera QC Baird
Redcar (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
67638
2005
66948

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19968
6956
7851
Minor
Parties
2379
Other
1707

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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