Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Jarrow


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
Andy Swaddle
Conservative Party
Jeffrey Milburn
Labour Party
Stephen Hepburn
Liberal Democrats
Tom Appleby

Incumbent:
Mr Stephen Hepburn
Jarrow (89.3 %)
Mrs Sharon Hodgson
Gateshead East & Washington West (1 %)
Rt Hon David Miliband
South Shields (3.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
65804
2005
63372

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
21075
4237
7810
Other
1719

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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