10 04 27	ridingbyriding 173.32.33.116
Simple Math. Labour is on 2/3rds of the vote they got last time (according to the polls) while the LibDems are on 3/2nds of their vote last time. Notionally this would put the two parties into a close tie, but the reality of the shifts in voting is that Labour is a bit higher than that, the LibDems a bit lower; plus the fact that the LibDems usually do over perform in the polls by a slight margin, spells a narrow but clear Labour win in this seat.
	10 04 27	Former resident 209.250.145.174
LDs are up 7% nationally, but up 11-12% in the North-East, Yorkshire and East Midlands, with the Labour vote down 10-14% in the same regions (8% nationally). That additional regional swing makes this one neck and neck, although the Guardian is saying it would be enough for the LDs to sweep Newcastle. TCTC.
	10 04 20	Predictor 99.211.152.63
If LibDem retain their currently momentum, they might have an outside chance of picking this one up, but that is unlikely.