Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Sunderland Central


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 20:30:18
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
John McCaffrey
Labour Party
Julie Elliott
Conservative Party
Lee Martin
Liberal Democrats
Paul Dixon
UK Independence Party
Pauline Featonby Warren

Incumbent:
Bill Etherington
Sunderland North (70.4 %)
Mr Chris Mullin
Sunderland South (41.4 %)
Mr Fraser Kemp
Houghton & Washington East (9.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
76457
2005
72930

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16927
9094
7448
Other
2820

 


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10 04 20 Predictor
99.211.152.63
Both of the old Sunderland constituencies had been held by Labour since the 1960s. However, the Tories do have some strength here as demonstrated by their local results. However, Lab losses are LibDem gain in this region, and the margin there is just too large to overcome.



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