Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Carlisle


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Independent
John Metcalfe
Green Party
John Reardon
Conservative Party
John Stevenson
Labour Party
Michael Boaden
UK Independence Party
Michael Owen
Liberal Democrats
Neil Hughes
British National Party
Paul Stafford
Independent
Peter Howe

Incumbent:
Mr Eric Martlew
Carlisle (100 %)
Rt Hon David Maclean
Penrith & The Border (6 %)

Electorate:
Current
63001
2005
63761

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17803
13350
5915
Other
1133

 


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10 04 22 Predictor
99.211.152.63
Yet another tight seat. Eric Martlew retiring actually helps the Labour a bit, as he has a distinct skill of making a fool of himself (his wife, who was his assistant, would be a better MP here). Will depends on the national numbers in the final week.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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