Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Bolton South East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green Party
Alan Johnson
Conservative Party
Andy Morgan
Liberal Democrats
Donal O'Hanlon
UK Independence Party
Ian Sidaway
Christian Peoples Alliance
Nawaid Syed
British National Party
Sheila Spink
Labour Party
Yasmin Qureshi

Incumbent:
Dr Brian Iddon
Bolton South East (96.6 %)
Rt Hon Ruth Kelly
Bolton West (9.6 %)

Electorate:
Current
73348
2005
67717

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19186
7932
6356
Other
1210

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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