Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Manchester Central


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green Party
Gayle O'Donovan
Independent
John Cartwright
Workers Revolutionary Party
Johnty Leff
Liberal Democrats
Marc Ramsbottom
UK Independence Party
Nicola Weatherill
Socialist Equality Party
Robert Skelton
Socialist Labour Party
Ron Sinclair
Conservative Party
Suhail Rahuja
Labour Party
Tony Lloyd
British National Party
Tony Trebilcock

Incumbent:
Tony Lloyd
Manchester Central (85 %)
Graham Stringer
Manchester, Blackley (17.7 %)
Rt Hon Sir Gerald Kaufman
Manchester, Gorton (4.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
69600
2005
72709

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18922
3315
6336
Minor
Parties
1124
Other
1339

 


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10 04 12 Rhyddfrydol
92.41.72.72
A tight fight between Labour and Liberal Democrats - but Labour will win out.
10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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