Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Liverpool, Riverside


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Kegang Wu
Labour Party
Louise Ellman
UK Independence Party
Pat Gaskell
British National Party
Peter Stafford
Liberal Democrats
Richard Marbrow
Green Party
Tom Crone

Incumbent:
Mrs Louise Ellman
Liverpool, Riverside (86.7 %)
Mr Peter Kilfoyle
Liverpool, Walton (9.7 %)
Maria Eagle
Liverpool, Garston (4.3 %)
Rt Hon Jane Kennedy
Liverpool, Wavertree (2 %)

Electorate:
Current
72873
2005
75325

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18549
2988
7501
Minor
Parties
179
Other
2749

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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