Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Liverpool, West Derby


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Hilary Jones
Socialist Labour Party
Kai Andersen
Conservative Party
Pamela Hall
Liberal Democrats
Paul Twigger
Labour Party
Stephen Twigg
Liberal Party
Steve Radford

Incumbent:
Mr Robert N. Wareing
Liverpool, West Derby (84.5 %)
Rt Hon Jane Kennedy
Liverpool, Wavertree (14.9 %)
Mr Peter Kilfoyle
Liverpool, Walton (2.6 %)

Electorate:
Current
70583
2005
66494

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19342
2649
4795
Minor
Parties
3405
Other
1514

 


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10 04 11 Rhyddfrydol
92.41.135.249
Steve Radford for the Liberal Party is popular locally, and I feel that he might come through the middle of the two warring Labour factions.
10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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